Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
46.2%53.8%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.40Projected Runs 3.81
5Final Score 4
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-14.261.263

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-33.721.293

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • BOS: Brayan Bello+137
L 6-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • BOS: Tanner Houck+112
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Kutter Crawford+142
W 5-8 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Trevor Kelley • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-114
W 2-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • BOS: Chris Sale-155
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+124
W 4-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Sonny Gray+116
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober+118
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez+127
W 12-8 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Shane Bieber • BAL: Keegan Akin-107

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall60-day IL
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
  • DHJosh BellUnknown
  • PPeyton BattenfieldUnknown
NNW 11 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)67°65°63°61°
Humidity51%52%56%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindNNW 11 mphNNW 11 mphNNW 11 mphNNW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+115-105-118-103-104-103-103+101.9
Guardians-125-103-102-107-106-107-102-101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+112-107-106-105-104-111-104+101.9
Guardians-125-103-104-105-106-105-103-101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -102
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-212+1½-220+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-190
Guardians-1½+155-1½+183-1½+180-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+183-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-178+1½-210+1½-216+1½-210+1½-215+1½-205+1½-205+1½-190
Guardians-1½+150-1½+180-1½+190-1½+175-1½+185-1½+180-1½+190-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-103o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-103o7½-104
Underu8+100u7½-113u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-105o7½-105o7½-104
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-115u7½-105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+110 to o8+100
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115