Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
40.2%59.8%
Guardians WinTwins Win
2.97Projected Runs 3.99
4Final Score 2
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-22.721.311

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-01.941.193

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober+118
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez+127
W 12-8 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Shane Bieber • BAL: Keegan Akin-107
L 5-8 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Cal Quantrill • BAL: Kyle Gibson+128
W 5-0 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Logan Allen • BAL: Tyler Wells+130
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober-124
W 6-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez-134
W 8-2 at Houston AstrosMIN: Louie Varland • HOU: Hunter Brown+168
L 1-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Joe Ryan • HOU: Brandon Bielak-102
W 7-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Sonny Gray • HOU: J.P. France+114

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzieUnknown
  • PPeyton BattenfieldUnknown
  • DHJosh BellOut
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • LFTrevor Larnach10-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaUnknown
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • DHByron BuxtonUnknown
  • PJorge AlcalaUnknown
  • LFNick Gordon10-day IL
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
E 5 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)86°85°83°80°
Humidity46%48%52%56%
Precipitation33%30%30%30%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindE 5 mphE 4 mphENE 4 mphNE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+120+118+113+114+117+114+118+118.5
Twins-130-127-135-124-127-124-124-118.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+115+116+114+115+113+114+116+118.5
Twins-130-126-124-130-123-134-123-118.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +117 to +108
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +119 to +113
Twins ML moved from -134 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-175+1½-183+1½-185+1½-192+1½-190+1½-192+1½-183+1½-176
Twins-1½+155-1½+162-1½+160-1½+167-1½+165-1½+167-1½+167-1½+176
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-180+1½-190+1½-192+1½-175+1½-180+1½-190+1½-175+1½-176
Twins-1½+152-1½+170-1½+170-1½+148-1½+160-1½+170-1½+170-1½+176

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7½-103o7-125o7½-110o7-130o7½-110o7-125o7½+100
Underu8-125u7½-113u7+105u7½-110u7+110u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-125o7-130o7-135o7-120o7-135o7-120o7½+100
Underu7½-105u7+105u7+110u7+115u7+100u7+115u7+115u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7+105 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7+115 to u7+105