Brewers at Pirates

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
51.3%48.7%
Brewers WinPirates Win
4.17Projected Runs 4.04
5Final Score 2
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
307-94.531.329

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3011-114.211.295

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Luis Ortiz-158
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Tobias Myers • PIT: Bailey Falter-144
W 9-10 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Jordan Montgomery • MIL: Frankie Montas-122
L 5-0 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • MIL: Aaron Civale-101
L 7-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • MIL: Colin Rea+120
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Luis Ortiz+148
L 7-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • PIT: Bailey Falter+134
W 2-0 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene+102
L 1-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Jared Jones • CIN: Rhett Lowder+116
L 3-8 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Nick Martinez+116

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PBryse Wilson15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PKyle Nicolas15-day IL
  • CHenry Davis10-day IL
  • PBen Heller60-day IL
SE 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°73°74°75°
Humidity83%80%77%75%
Precipitation12%2%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 3 mphSE 3 mphESE 4 mphSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+110-114-122-112-114-112-112-106.7
Pirates-120+104+102+102+104+102+104+106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-115-115-115-123-116-115-115-106.7
Pirates+105+105+105+108+106+105+108+106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -108 to -117
Pirates ML moved from +101 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Brewers ML
Pirates ML moved from +110 to +102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+145-1½+147-1½+140-1½+143-1½+140-1½+143-1½+147-1½+151
Pirates+1½-170+1½-163+1½-165+1½-163+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160+1½-151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143-1½+151
Pirates+1½-160+1½-160+1½-162+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+102o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+102o7½+109
Underu8-110u7½-118u7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-110u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½-110o8+100o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½+109
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-110u8-120u7½-110u7½-115u8-120u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-113 to u7+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110