Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
50.4%49.6%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.28Projected Runs 4.25
3Final Score 8
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2911-103.871.25

Nick Martinez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
149-63.371.083

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-2 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Luis Ortiz • STL: Erick Fedde+140
L 5-10 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Jake Woodford • STL: Sonny Gray+181
L 1-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Bailey Falter • STL: Lance Lynn+140
L 0-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Paul Skenes • STL: Andre Pallante-123
W 3-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • PIT: Jared Jones-103
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 15-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • CIN: Julian Aguiar+190
L 7-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • CIN: Jakob Junis+126
W 5-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Grant Holmes • CIN: Brandon Williamson+130
L 2-9 at Minnesota TwinsCIN: Rhett Lowder • MIN: David Festa+160
W 11-1 at Minnesota TwinsCIN: Nick Martinez • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+136

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CHenry Davis10-day IL
  • SSO'Neil CruzIn Lineup
  • PKyle Nicolas15-day IL
  • PBen Heller60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • LFWill BensonIn Lineup
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • CAustin Wynns60-day IL
WSW 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)88°85°81°78°
Humidity39%46%54%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 6 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+115+113+108+116+116+116+116+120.4
Reds-125-123-130-126-126-126-123-120.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+115+114+114+109+107+116+116+120.4
Reds-125-124-124-124-117-126-117-120.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +113 to +106
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-180+1½-178+1½-185+1½-176+1½-180+1½-176+1½-176+1½-163
Reds-1½+150-1½+157-1½+160-1½+156-1½+160-1½+156-1½+160-1½+163
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-156+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-163
Reds-1½+137-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+170-1½+160-1½+170-1½+163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-113o9-120o9-117o9-120o9-117o9-113o9-106
Underu9-115u9-103u9+100u9-103u9+100u9-103u9+100u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-115o9-105o9-106
Underu8-115u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-105u9-105u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-103 to o9-113
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
No Steam Moves On Under