Nationals at Cubs

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
43.9%56.1%
Nationals WinCubs Win
3.93Projected Runs 4.58
1Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-02.221.076

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2610-83.541.162

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 6-7 at Chicago CubsWSN: Trevor Williams • CHC: Javier Assad+165
L 0-10 at New York MetsWSN: DJ Herz • NYM: Jose Quintana+155
L 1-10 at New York MetsWSN: Mitchell Parker • NYM: Tylor Megill+153
L 1-2 at New York MetsWSN: Jake Irvin • NYM: Sean Manaea+181
W 3-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Adam Oller • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-165
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • CHC: Javier Assad-175
L 5-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Brady Basso • CHC: Justin Steele-173
L 4-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Mitch Spence • CHC: Jordan Wicks-143
W 2-9 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Joey Estes • CHC: Shota Imanaga-190
W 6-2 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • COL: Cal Quantrill-127

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFAlex Call10-day IL
  • PJoan Adon15-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaQuestionable
  • CFJacob YoungQuestionable

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJulian MerryweatherOut for Season
  • 3BNick Madrigal60-day IL
SW 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°84°84°85°
Humidity64%60%58%55%
Precipitation39%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindSW 8 mphWSW 7 mphWNW 6 mphNNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+156+146+136+147+143+147+147+152.0
Cubs-170-158-162-160-153-160-153-152.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+151+145+146+155+146+145+155+152.0
Cubs-165-155-160-170-159-160-155-152.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +158 to +151
Cubs ML moved from -155 to -162

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 60.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-138+1½-135+1½-134+1½-135+1½-134+1½-134+1½-123
Cubs-1½+115-1½+122-1½+115-1½+114-1½+115-1½+114-1½+122-1½+123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-125+1½-140+1½-135+1½-125+1½-123
Cubs-1½+117-1½+115-1½+122-1½+105-1½+120-1½+115-1½+122-1½+123

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½+107o9½+100o9-115o9½+100o9-115o9-115o9-104
Underu9-115u9½-123u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9-104
Underu9-115u9½-120u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under