Reds at Twins

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
50.7%49.3%
Reds WinTwins Win
3.98Projected Runs 3.92
2Final Score 9
Rank14
R/G4.7
RA/G4.5
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G4.7
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Rhett Lowder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-10.591.239

David Festa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-65.081.247

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 11-1 at Minnesota TwinsCIN: Nick Martinez • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+136
W 8-4 at Minnesota TwinsCIN: Julian Aguiar • MIN: Bailey Ober+211
L 1-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Jakob Junis • STL: Sonny Gray+350
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Brandon Williamson • STL: Lance Lynn+138
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Rhett Lowder • STL: Andre Pallante+120
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 11-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-137
L 8-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Julian Aguiar • MIN: Bailey Ober-210
W 4-6 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jack Kochanowicz • MIN: Zebby Matthews-200
W 5-10 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Griffin Canning • MIN: Pablo Lopez-250
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • MIN: David Festa-164

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFWill BensonRest
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • -Christian Roa60-day IL
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • 3BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL
  • CAustin Wynns60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BJose MirandaRest
  • DHByron BuxtonRest
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaRest
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • SSAustin MartinRest
S 9 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°83°84°85°
Humidity64%59%57%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindS 9 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+136+153+145+153+157+153+157+158.2
Twins-148-167-177-167-167-167-167-158.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+139+160+154+153+160+155+160+158.2
Twins-151-175-169-168-175-170-168-158.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +150 to +144
Twins ML moved from -172 to -186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Twins ML moved from -148 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-133+1½-145+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
Twins-1½+135-1½+117-1½+125-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+125-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-165+1½-140+1½-137+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-137+1½-124
Twins-1½+145-1½+120-1½+119-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-123o9+100o8½-123o8½-120o8½-123o8½-120o8½-112
Underu8½-105u8½+107u9-120u8½+103u8½+100u8½+103u8½+107u8½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-112
Underu8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
No Steam Moves On Under