Reds at Twins

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
36.2%63.8%
Reds WinTwins Win
3.25Projected Runs 4.70
8Final Score 4
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Julian Aguiar (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-05.061.359

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2712-63.770.981

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Jakob Junis • STL: Sonny Gray+350
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Brandon Williamson • STL: Lance Lynn+138
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Rhett Lowder • STL: Andre Pallante+120
W 1-0 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Nick Martinez • ATL: Charlie Morton+137
W 3-1 at New York MetsCIN: Julian Aguiar • NYM: Luis Severino+185
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jack Kochanowicz • MIN: Zebby Matthews-200
W 5-10 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Griffin Canning • MIN: Pablo Lopez-250
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • MIN: David Festa-164
L 0-2 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • KCR: Michael Wacha+111
L 2-4 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Alec Marsh-126

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CAustin Wynns60-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • LFWill BensonQuestionable
  • 3BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
  • -Christian Roa60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
SE 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°75°73°71°
Humidity56%62%66%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindSE 8 mphSE 7 mphSE 5 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+180+209+180+210+200+210+210+217.5
Twins-220-231-220-235-220-235-220-217.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+186+185+211+200+189+200+211+217.5
Twins-206-210-235-220-210-230-210-217.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Twins ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Twins ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-115+1½-103+1½-115+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+109
Twins-1½-105-1½-113-1½-105-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-105-1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-116+1½-115+1½+102+1½-110+1½-115+1½-115+1½+102+1½+109
Twins-1½-102-1½-105-1½-120-1½-110-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-108o8½-110o8½-115o8½-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½-104
Underu8½-120u8½-108u8½-110u8½-105u8½-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-105o8½-120o8-120o8½+100o8½-120o8½+100o8½-104
Underu8-110u8½-115u8½+100u8+100u8½-120u8½+100u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under