Reds at Mets

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
40.3%59.7%
Reds WinMets Win
3.62Projected Runs 4.63
3Final Score 1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Julian Aguiar (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-06.481.5

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2710-63.841.255

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 0-4 at New York MetsCIN: Jakob Junis • NYM: Jose Quintana+136
L 4-6 at New York MetsCIN: Fernando Cruz • NYM: Sean Manaea+153
W 0-1 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Hunter Brown • CIN: Rhett Lowder+139
W 5-12 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • CIN: Nick Martinez+133
W 3-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • CIN: Julian Aguiar+144
New York Mets
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Jakob Junis • NYM: Jose Quintana-142
W 4-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Fernando Cruz • NYM: Sean Manaea-160
W 3-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • NYM: Tylor Megill-115
W 2-7 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYM: David Peterson-124
W 1-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • NYM: Luis Severino-108

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • -Christian Roa60-day IL
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL
  • 3BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonRest
  • CFT.J. FriedlRest
  • CAustin Wynns60-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PDedniel Nunez15-day IL
  • CFrancisco AlvarezRest
  • DHJ.D. MartinezRest
  • 2BJeff McNeilOut for Season
  • PPaul Blackburn15-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°69°71°71°
Humidity45%42%40%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mphW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+180+182+174+182+185+182+185+188.0
Mets-220-200-214-200-200-200-200-188.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+181+180+179+185+181+180+185+188.0
Mets-200-200-198-205-200-200-198-188.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +174 to +168
Mets ML moved from -211 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
No Steam Moves On Mets ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-120+1½-113+1½-115+1½-118+1½-120+1½-118+1½-113+1½-107
Mets-1½+100-1½-103-1½-105-1½-102-1½+100-1½-102-1½+100-1½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-118+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-107
Mets-1½+100-1½+100-1½+102-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+102-1½+107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-113o8½+100o8-118o8-115o8-118o8-113o8-107
Underu8-115u8-103u8½-120u8-102u8-105u8-102u8-102u8+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-107
Underu8-115u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-110u8-105u8+100u8+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under