Mets at Red Sox

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
45.1%54.9%
Mets WinRed Sox Win
4.75Projected Runs 5.27
1Final Score 6
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-35.351.447

Brennan Bernardino (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-02.271.011

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 6-8 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Max Scherzer • BOS: James Paxton+107
W 5-4 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Kodai Senga • BOS: Kutter Crawford+100
L 6-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Michael Kopech • NYM: Jose Quintana-160
W 1-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Touki Toussaint • NYM: Justin Verlander-200
W 10-11 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-129
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-8 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • BOS: James Paxton-112
L 5-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • BOS: Kutter Crawford+103
L 5-6 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Brayan Bello • OAK: Ken Waldichuk-220
L 0-3 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Joe Jacques • OAK: Luis Medina-168
W 7-0 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Brennan Bernardino • OAK: Paul Blackburn-160

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PStephen Ridings60-day IL
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • CFTommy PhamRest
  • -Edwin Uceta60-day IL
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan BelloOut
  • PKaleb Ort15-day IL
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
SE 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°78°76°74°
Humidity48%55%59%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 3 mphSSE 5 mphS 5 mphS 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+130+119+109+120+117+120+120+124.3
Red Sox-142-128-131-130-127-130-127-124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+122+116+115+122+119+110+122+124.3
Red Sox-145-126-126-145-129-130-126-124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +128 to +121
Red Sox ML moved from -147 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +120 to +110
Red Sox ML moved from -145 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-150+1½-158+1½-160+1½-163+1½-150+1½-163+1½-150+1½-151
Red Sox-1½+130-1½+142-1½+135-1½+143-1½+130-1½+143-1½+143-1½+151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-150+1½-150+1½-157+1½-155+1½-145+1½-155+1½-145+1½-151
Red Sox-1½+126-1½+130-1½+138-1½+130-1½+125-1½+135-1½+138-1½+151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o11-103o11+105o10½-127o11-105o10½-127o11+105o10½-116
Underu9½-115u11-113u11-125u10½+107u11-115u10½+107u11-113u10½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-100o11-110o10½-120o11+100o10½-130o11-105o10½-120o10½-116
Underu9½-120u11-110u10½+100u11-120u10½+110u11-115u11-110u10½+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-120 to o10½-127
The Under moved from u11-120 to u11-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-105 to o11-115
The Under moved from u11-110 to u10½+100