Mets at Red Sox

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
51.2%48.8%
Mets WinRed Sox Win
4.91Projected Runs 4.78
5Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Kodai Senga (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
177-53.21.265

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-43.741.129

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Michael Kopech • NYM: Jose Quintana-160
W 1-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Touki Toussaint • NYM: Justin Verlander-200
W 10-11 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-129
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Bobby Miller • NYM: Max Scherzer-105
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • NYM: Kodai Senga-117
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-6 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Brayan Bello • OAK: Ken Waldichuk-220
L 0-3 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Joe Jacques • OAK: Luis Medina-168
W 7-0 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Brennan Bernardino • OAK: Paul Blackburn-160
W 11-5 at Chicago CubsBOS: Kutter Crawford • CHC: Justin Steele+134
L 4-10 at Chicago CubsBOS: James Paxton • CHC: Marcus Stroman-110

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • CFTommy PhamUnknown
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • -Edwin Uceta60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan BelloOut
  • SSEnrique HernandezRest
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • CReese McGuire10-day IL
  • PKaleb Ort15-day IL
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
S 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°73°72°70°
Humidity73%80%86%89%
Precipitation28%23%36%39%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyRainRain
WindS 7 mphSSW 5 mphSW 5 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-105-106-112-110-109-110-106-104.8
Red Sox-105-102-108+100-101+100+100+104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+104-105-113-105+100-111+100-104.8
Red Sox-114-105+103-105-110-105+103+104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +101 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from -101 to -107

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Mets: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 70.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +100 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -112 to -120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-195+1½-197-1½+145+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-178
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+173+1½-170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-190+1½-211+1½-220+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-178
Red Sox-1½+160-1½+170-1½+185-1½+180-1½+170-1½+170-1½+185-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-118o10-110o10-108o10-105o10-108o9½-118o10+102
Underu9½-110u9½+102u10-110u10-112u10-115u10-112u10-110u10-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-115o9½-120o10-110o9½-115o9½-120o9½-115o10+102
Underu9½-110u9½-105u9½+100u10-110u9½-105u9½+100u10-110u10-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-110
No Steam Moves On Under