Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
56.3%43.7%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.25Projected Runs 3.59
8Final Score 0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
146-43.591.197

Osvaldo Bido (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-02.251.75

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • CHC: Jameson Taillon-102
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Gibson • CHC: Justin Steele-130
W 3-10 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Cole Irvin • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-130
W 2-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • CHC: Marcus Stroman-141
W 6-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Osvaldo Bido • CHC: Drew Smyly-145
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Luis Ortiz • MIL: Freddy Peralta+160
L 0-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Wade Miley-107
L 4-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Rich Hill • MIL: Julio Teheran+105
L 2-7 at Chicago CubsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CHC: Marcus Stroman+136
L 6-10 at Chicago CubsPIT: Osvaldo Bido • CHC: Drew Smyly+140

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BEdwin Rios10-day IL
  • 1BMatt MervisRest
  • 3BPatrick Wisdom10-day IL
  • PNick Burdi60-day IL
  • -Brandon Hughes15-day IL
  • DHTrey ManciniRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan BaeRest
  • -Rob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • PVince VelasquezOut for Season
E 6 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)83°80°78°76°
Humidity48%52%56%59%
Precipitation30%30%30%30%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindE 6 mphE 5 mphE 5 mphESE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-118-122-128-120-119-123-119-114.5
Pirates+108+113+107+110+109+113+113+114.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-117-121-122-125-123-126-121-114.5
Pirates+107+111+112+112+113+107+113+114.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -120 to -130
Pirates ML moved from +120 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -115 to -128
Pirates ML moved from +118 to +111

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+130-1½+132-1½+125-1½+128-1½+125-1½+128-1½+132-1½+136
Pirates+1½-150+1½-148+1½-145+1½-148+1½-145+1½-148+1½-145+1½-136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+126-1½+130-1½+127-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+136
Pirates+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-155+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-136

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-123o9-125o9-125o9-125o9-125o9-123o9-114
Underu9-115u9+107u9+105u9+105u9+105u9+105u9+107u9+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-114
Underu9-110u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
No Steam Moves On Under