Orioles at Twins

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(91-71)
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
37.6%62.4%
Orioles WinTwins Win
3.43Projected Runs 4.72
3Final Score 4

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Jordan Lyles (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-74.941.459

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-12.170.966

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 2-3 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: Spenser Watkins • MIN: Joe Ryan+205
L 3-9 at Seattle MarinersBAL: Austin Voth • SEA: Chris Flexen+112
L 0-2 at Seattle MarinersBAL: Dean Kremer • SEA: Robbie Ray+145
W 9-2 at Seattle MarinersBAL: Tyler Wells • SEA: George Kirby+137
L 3-4 at Chicago White SoxBAL: Jordan Lyles • CHW: Dylan Cease+210
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Spenser Watkins • MIN: Joe Ryan-220
L 3-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Chris Archer • CLE: Shane Bieber+140
L 6-7 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Dylan Bundy • CLE: Cal Quantrill+115
W 6-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Josh Winder • CLE: Konnor Pilkington-106
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Devin Smeltzer • CLE: Zach Plesac+104

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • CAdley RutschmanRest
  • PKyle BradishUnknown
  • SSRamon Urias10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PCody Stashak60-day IL
  • PBailey OberUnknown
  • CRyan JeffersUnknown
  • LFTrevor LarnachOut
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
  • -Joe SmithUnknown
  • DHGary SanchezUnknown
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+180+200+217+205+207+217+217+214.3
Twins-190-245-242-225-242-242-225-214.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+175+200+202+205+213+205+213+214.3
Twins-210-240-224-250-240-230-224-214.3

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Orioles ML
Twins ML moved from -218 to -225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +210 to +200
Twins ML moved from -225 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-120+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+109
Twins-1½+100-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-120+1½+105+1½-104+1½+105+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+109
Twins-1½-100-1½-125-1½-114-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-114-1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+104
Underu8½-105u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9+100o9-105o9-100o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+104
Underu9-110u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-120 to u9-130
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