Marlins at Nationals

Updated

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
53.1%46.9%
Marlins WinNationals Win
4.68Projected Runs 4.35
5Final Score 3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Daniel Castano (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-12.571.381

Jackson Tetreault (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-14.241.412

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 6-3 at Washington NationalsMIA: Trevor Rogers • WSN: Josiah Gray+116
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • STL: Andre Pallante-129
L 3-5 at St. Louis CardinalsMIA: Braxton Garrett • STL: Dakota Hudson+135
L 0-9 at St. Louis CardinalsMIA: Pablo Lopez • STL: Adam Wainwright+118
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • MIA: Daniel Castano+135
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • WSN: Josiah Gray-120
L 8-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • WSN: Paolo Espino-142
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • WSN: Patrick Corbin-119
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Miguel Yajure • WSN: Erick Fedde-140
W 6-4 at Texas RangersWSN: Jackson Tetreault • TEX: Glenn Otto+152

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PEdward CabreraUnknown
  • PJesus Luzardo60-day IL
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL
  • PLouis HeadUnknown
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen StrasburgUnknown
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
S 8 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)86°84°82°81°
Humidity69%73%75%78%
Precipitation23%31%29%29%
ConditionHumid and OvercastRain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidRain and Humid
WindS 8 mphS 8 mphSSE 9 mphWNW 8 mph
Nic Lentz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-125-115-109-110-109-109-109-104.4
Nationals+115-105-101+100-101-101+100+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-125-114-111-110-110-110-110-104.4
Nationals+112+104+101+100+100+100+104+104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +100 to -106
Nationals ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from -105 to -111
Nationals ML moved from +110 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-1½+125-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+138
Nationals+1½-145+1½-160+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-1½+130-1½+130+1½-211-1½+135+1½-200-1½+130-1½+138
Nationals+1½-150+1½-150-1½+185+1½-155-1½+175+1½-150+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-105o10-110o9½-120o10-110o10-110o9½-120o9½-109
Underu9½-110u10-115u10-110u9½+100u10-110u10-110u10-110u9½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-105o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-109
Underu9½-110u10-115u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+106 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115