Nationals at Mets

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
37.6%62.4%
Nationals WinMets Win
3.72Projected Runs 5.02
1Final Score 5
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
206-74.371.436

Max Scherzer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
188-44.21.192

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 1-2 at New York MetsWSN: Josiah Gray • NYM: Kodai Senga+185
W 4-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Peter Lambert • WSN: Jake Irvin-145
W 5-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • WSN: Trevor Williams-126
L 10-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jake Bird • WSN: Patrick Corbin-159
W 1-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Scott Alexander • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+110
New York Mets
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • NYM: Kodai Senga-199
L 1-3 at New York YankeesNYM: José Quintana • NYY: Carlos Rodón+126
W 9-3 at New York YankeesNYM: Justin Verlander • NYY: Domingo Germán-107
L 1-6 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Carlos Carrasco • BOS: Brennan Bernardino+122
L 6-8 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Max Scherzer • BOS: James Paxton+107

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PThad Ward15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • PHunter Harvey15-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • -Edwin Uceta60-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez15-day IL
  • PStephen Ridings60-day IL
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
S 7 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
To CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)87°85°83°83°
Humidity60%66%70%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindS 7 mphS 6 mphS 5 mphSSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+174+163+155+167+171+167+171+172.7
Mets-190-176-188-183-181-183-176-172.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+167+170+164+158+174+155+174+172.7
Mets-184-185-181-190-192-180-180-172.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +164 to +158
Mets ML moved from -179 to -186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 50.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +170 to +160
Mets ML moved from -192 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-133+1½-135+1½-138+1½-125+1½-138+1½-125+1½-126
Mets-1½+110-1½+117-1½+115-1½+118-1½+105-1½+118-1½+118-1½+126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-125+1½-138+1½-125+1½-125+1½-140+1½-125+1½-126
Mets-1½+110-1½+105-1½+120-1½+105-1½+105-1½+120-1½+120-1½+126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-113o8½-115o8½-116o8½-110o8½-116o8½-110o8½-105
Underu8½-105u8½-103u8½-105u8½-104u8½-110u8½-104u8½-103u8½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-105
Underu8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-108 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-112