Red Sox at Nationals

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
57.9%42.1%
Red Sox WinNationals Win
5.04Projected Runs 4.20
5Final Score 3

Washington Nationals

(71-91)
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
121-53.81.219

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-25.851.407

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-2 at Washington NationalsBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • WSN: Josh Rogers-188
L 2-6 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: Alexander Wells-210
W 6-0 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • BAL: Zac Lowther-254
L 2-4 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Chris Sale • BAL: Bruce Zimmerman-260
L 6-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+100
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • WSN: Josh Rogers+185
L 5-10 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Paolo Espino • COL: Peter Lambert+108
L 1-3 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Patrick Corbin • COL: Kyle Freeland+122
W 5-4 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Josiah Gray • COL: German Marquez+152
L 2-9 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josh Rogers • CIN: Tyler Mahle+165

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • SSJonathan Arauz10-day IL
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • PPhillips Valdez10-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PPatrick CorbinOut for Season
  • PKyle McGowin60-day IL
  • LFGerardo Parra10-day IL
  • LFYadiel HernandezQuestionable
S 6 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°77°75°73°
Humidity56%57%63%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 6 mphS 6 mphS 4 mphSW 3 mph
Phil Cuzzi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-146-155-151-150-151-151-150-145.1
Nationals+135+130+139+140+141+139+141+145.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-140-154-155-154-148-145-145-145.1
Nationals+128+144+141+144+136+135+144+145.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -155 to -162
Nationals ML moved from +144 to +137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -148 to -154
Nationals ML moved from +145 to +135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+102-1½-105-1½-103-1½+100-1½-103-1½-103-1½+100-1½+106
Nationals+1½-122+1½-115+1½-117+1½-120+1½-117+1½-117+1½-115+1½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+108-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+106
Nationals+1½-126+1½-115+1½-113+1½-115+1½-110+1½-125+1½-110+1½-106

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9½-103o9½-105o9½-103o9½-103o9½-103o9½-102
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9½-117u9½-115u9½-117u9½-117u9½-115u9½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½-102
Underu9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-115
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