Red Sox at Nationals

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
55.4%44.6%
Red Sox WinNationals Win
5.04Projected Runs 4.49
4Final Score 2

Washington Nationals

(71-91)
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3011-84.931.391

Josh Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-12.731.213

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-6 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: Alexander Wells-210
W 6-0 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • BAL: Zac Lowther-254
L 2-4 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Chris Sale • BAL: Bruce Zimmerman-260
L 6-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+100
L 5-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BOS: Nick Pivetta-103
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-10 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Paolo Espino • COL: Peter Lambert+108
L 1-3 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Patrick Corbin • COL: Kyle Freeland+122
W 5-4 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Josiah Gray • COL: German Marquez+152
L 2-9 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josh Rogers • CIN: Tyler Mahle+165
L 6-7 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+115

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • PPhillips Valdez10-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • SSJonathan Arauz10-day IL
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFGerardo Parra10-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
  • PKyle McGowin60-day IL
  • LFYadiel HernandezUnknown
  • PPatrick CorbinOut for Season
SSE 2 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°66°65°65°
Humidity56%61%66%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 2 mphESE 3 mphESE 3 mphESE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-191-200-192-200-192-192-192-188.0
Nationals+175+165+176+185+172+176+185+188.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-184-190-191-195-205-188-188-188.0
Nationals+169+175+173+175+185+173+185+188.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -200 to -206
Nationals ML moved from +179 to +171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -195 to -205
Nationals ML moved from +179 to +173

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-120-1½-125-1½-123-1½-125-1½-123-1½-123-1½-123-1½-117
Nationals+1½+100+1½+105+1½+103+1½+105+1½+103+1½+103+1½+105+1½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-130-1½-130-1½-124-1½-130-1½-135-1½-125-1½-124-1½-117
Nationals+1½+110+1½+110+1½+106+1½+110+1½+115+1½+105+1½+115+1½+117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-110o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-104
Underu9-115u9-110u9-105u9-105u9-105u9-105u9-105u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-120o9-122o9-120o9-120o9-110o9-110o9-104
Underu9½-115u9+100u9+102u9+100u9+100u9-110u9+102u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100
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