Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
52.5%47.5%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.24Projected Runs 3.98
4Final Score 11
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-13.770.884

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-13.861.286

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Triston McKenzie+116
L 5-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • MIN: Joe Ryan-112
L 4-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Marcus Stroman • MIN: Pablo López-130
L 5-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodón • MIN: Chris Paddack+107
W 5-1 at Toronto Blue JaysMIN: Bailey Ober • TOR: Alek Manoah-115
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Triston McKenzie-120
L 0-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Carlos Carrasco • TEX: Jon Gray+178
W 7-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Ben Lively • TEX: Jack Leiter+110
W 7-0 at Texas RangersCLE: Tanner Bibee • TEX: Michael Lorenzen-105
W 7-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Logan Allen • CHW: Michael Soroka-164

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • DHByron BuxtonUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
NNE 8 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)69°68°67°65°
Humidity71%72%74%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNNE 8 mphNNE 6 mphNE 5 mphNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-115-118-124-120-120-120-118-114.5
Guardians+105+108+104+110+110+110+110+114.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-115-125-125-128-120-125-120-114.5
Guardians+105+115+115+113+110+115+115+114.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -117 to -123
Guardians ML moved from +115 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -118 to -125
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+150-1½+142-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+148
Guardians+1½-170+1½-158+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-158+1½-148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+145-1½+145-1½+139-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+148
Guardians+1½-164+1½-165+1½-158+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-158+1½-148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-123o7-115o7-117o7-125o7-117o7-115o7-106
Underu7½-105u7+107u7-105u7-103u7+105u7-103u7+107u7+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7-120o7-120o7-106
Underu7½-105u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7+100u7½-120u7+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u7+107 to u7-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-120