Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
48.7%51.3%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.18Projected Runs 4.31
7Final Score 2
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
80-33.831.196

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-23.941.313

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Nick Lodolo+109
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • CHC: Justin Steele-153
L 6-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • CHC: Marcus Stroman-208
W 3-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • CHC: Keegan Thompson-188
L 3-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • CHC: Adrian Sampson-132
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Nick Lodolo-110
L 2-10 at New York MetsCIN: T.J. Zeuch • NYM: Taijuan Walker+280
L 2-6 at New York MetsCIN: Mike Minor • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+255
L 1-5 at New York MetsCIN: Justin Dunn • NYM: Chris Bassitt+297
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIL: Corbin Burnes+250

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest
  • 3BChristopher MorelRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown
  • 2BJonathan IndiaQuestionable
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
SE 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
InNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°78°76°
Humidity42%48%57%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSE 3 mphSE 3 mphESE 4 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+110+102+108+108+108+110+112.6
Reds-110-119-122-118-118-118-118-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+110+108+110+116+110+116+112.6
Reds-110-120-118-120-126-120-118-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -103
Reds ML moved from -120 to -130

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 70.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +114 to +108
Reds ML moved from -120 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+155+1½-183+1½-185+1½-184+1½-184+1½-184+1½-183+1½-169
Reds+1½-175-1½+162-1½+160-1½+164-1½+164-1½+164-1½+164-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180+1½-169
Reds-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-103o9-105o9-106o9-106o9-106o9-103o9+104
Underu9+100u9-113u9-115u9-114u9-114u9-114u9-113u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9-105o9-105o9+100o9-105o9-110o9+100o9+104
Underu9½-120u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-113 to u9-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115