Nationals at Cubs

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
44.3%55.7%
Nationals WinCubs Win
3.94Projected Runs 4.54
2Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
207-84.921.311

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-73.671.411

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsWSN: Paolo Espino • CHC: Marcus Stroman+190
L 3-6 at Chicago CubsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • CHC: Keegan Thompson+178
L 1-13 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Cory Abbott • PHI: Aaron Nola+268
L 5-11 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PHI: Ranger Suarez+238
L 2-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Josiah Gray • PHI: Kyle Gibson+169
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • CHC: Marcus Stroman-208
W 3-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • CHC: Keegan Thompson-188
L 3-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • CHC: Adrian Sampson-132
W 0-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Drew Smyly+103
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Justin Steele-133

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • PErick FeddeUnknown
  • PTyler ClippardUnknown
  • PMacKenzie GoreUnknown
  • PEvan Lee60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
NNE 4 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°81°82°82°
Humidity60%57%55%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 4 mphNNE 5 mphNE 5 mphENE 5 mph
Mike Muchlinski
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+161+144+136+142+155+142+155+146.0
Cubs-175-154-162-154-170-154-154-146.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+155+146+140+135+140+144+146+146.0
Cubs-165-156-154-160-153-154-153-146.0

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 80.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +150 to +144
Cubs ML moved from -176 to -183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +144 to +135
Cubs ML moved from -170 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-140+1½-153+1½-160+1½-155-+1½-155+1½-153+1½-143
Cubs-1½+120-1½+137-1½+135-1½+135--1½+135-1½+137-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-139+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
Cubs-1½+121-1½+135-1½+136-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+136-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-103o7½-105o7½-106-o7½-106o7½-103o7½+104
Underu8-120u7½-113u7½-115u7½-114-u7½-114u7½-113u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½+104
Underu8-120u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110