Mets at Pirates

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
45.7%54.3%
Mets WinPirates Win
3.75Projected Runs 4.19
2Final Score 14
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-23.421.161

Paul Skenes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-02.061.032

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 0-1 at Washington NationalsNYM: Jose Quintana • WSN: Jake Irvin-105
L 5-7 at Washington NationalsNYM: Christian Scott • WSN: Mitchell Parker-123
W 7-2 at Washington NationalsNYM: Sean Manaea • WSN: DJ Herz-135
W 9-7 at Washington NationalsNYM: David Peterson • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-114
L 10-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Shawn Dubin • NYM: Luis Severino-118
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • PIT: Martín Pérez+100
W 4-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • PIT: Jared Jones-118
L 7-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • PIT: Mitch Keller-116
W 4-2 at Atlanta BravesPIT: Bailey Falter • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+175
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesPIT: Paul Skenes • ATL: Max Fried+126

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • PShintaro Fujinami60-day IL
  • PEdwin DiazOut
  • PDrew Smith15-day IL
  • PBrooks RaleyOut for Season
  • PSean Reid-Foley15-day IL
  • CFHarrison BaderUnknown

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • CHenry DavisUnknown
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
WSW 5 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°83°80°78°
Humidity63%65%70%75%
Precipitation0%5%10%15%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+120+122+121+127+123+127+127+131.6
Pirates-130-132-144-138-133-138-132-131.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+112+123+125+125+123+123+125+131.6
Pirates-122-133-137-140-133-133-133-131.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +115 to +106
Pirates ML moved from -128 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mets ML
Pirates ML moved from -126 to -134

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-205+1½-163+1½-180+1½-168+1½-175+1½-168+1½-163+1½-155
Pirates-1½+175-1½+147-1½+155-1½+148-1½+155-1½+148-1½+155-1½+155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-200+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-155
Pirates-1½+175-1½+160-1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8-103o8-105o7½-125o7½-125o7½-125o8-103o7½-114
Underu7½-105u8-113u8-115u7½+105u7½+105u7½+105u7½+105u7½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-105o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-114
Underu7½+100u8-115u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u8-115u7½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-130
The Under moved from u7½+110 to u7½+100