Pirates at Braves

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.4
38.2%61.8%
Pirates WinBraves Win
3.80Projected Runs 5.03
4Final Score 2
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.4
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-64.01.14

Spencer Schwellenbach (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-35.41.275

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesPIT: Paul Skenes • ATL: Max Fried+126
L 1-6 at Atlanta BravesPIT: Martín Pérez • ATL: Charlie Morton+190
W 6-1 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Luis Ortiz • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+125
W 9-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Hunter Greene+115
L 5-11 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Carson Spiers+125
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • ATL: Max Fried-132
W 1-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Martín Pérez • ATL: Charlie Morton-200
L 0-1 at Chicago White SoxATL: Chris Sale • CHW: Chad Kuhl-270
L 1-4 at St. Louis CardinalsATL: Bryce Elder • STL: Matthew Liberatore-110
W 6-2 at St. Louis CardinalsATL: Reynaldo Lopez • STL: Kyle Gibson-114

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFMichael A. TaylorRest
  • 1BConnor JoeRest
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • CJoey BartUnknown
  • CHenry DavisUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PRay KerrOut for Season
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • CFMichael Harris II10-day IL
  • PSpencer StriderOut for Season
  • PHurston Waldrep15-day IL
  • CTravis D'ArnaudRest
NW 8 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)86°90°92°94°
Humidity69%63%57%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindNW 8 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+156+168+167+166+177+166+177+171.7
Braves-170-184-204-182-187-182-182-171.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+155+175+174+172+170+170+175+171.7
Braves-170-190-192-187-187-190-187-171.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +175 to +166
Braves ML moved from -206 to -212

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Braves ML moved from -173 to -187

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-118+1½-120+1½-121+1½-115+1½-121+1½-115+1½-110
Braves-1½+115-1½+102-1½+100-1½+101-1½-105-1½+101-1½+102-1½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-115+1½-120+1½-120+1½-130+1½-120+1½-115+1½-110
Braves-1½+115-1½-105-1½+102-1½+100-1½+110-1½+100-1½+102-1½+110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9-108o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-105o9+100
Underu9+105u9-108u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-108u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9+100o9+100o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+100
Underu9+105u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115