Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
45.9%54.1%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.31Projected Runs 4.73
6Final Score 1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-027.04.5

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-35.051.46

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 9-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Hunter Greene+115
L 5-11 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Carson Spiers+125
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Aaron Civale • PIT: Paul Skenes-152
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • PIT: Jared Jones-108
L 10-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+121
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 9-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Hunter Greene-124
W 5-11 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Carson Spiers-131
L 7-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo-152
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas+108
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-102

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • PMartin Perez15-day IL
  • CHenry DavisUnknown
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-Strand60-day IL
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • LFJake FraleyUnknown
SW 8 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°79°80°81°
Humidity80%77%76%75%
Precipitation20%27%26%25%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSW 8 mphSW 7 mphSW 8 mphWSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+122+121+115+119+122+119+122+123.4
Reds-133-131-138-129-132-129-129-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+122+123+117+114+125+118+125+123.4
Reds-133-133-128-129-135-128-128-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +127 to +120
Reds ML moved from -132 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +126 to +118
Reds ML moved from -128 to -136

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-160+1½-158+1½-170+1½-163+1½-155+1½-163+1½-155+1½-151
Reds-1½+140-1½+142-1½+145-1½+143-1½+135-1½+143-1½+145-1½+151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-161+1½-165+1½-166+1½-165+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-151
Reds-1½+142-1½+145-1½+147-1½+145-1½+140-1½+135-1½+147-1½+151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-103o9-120o9½+105o9½-110o9½+105o9-120o9½+114
Underu9½-105u9½-113u9+100u9½-125u9½-110u9½-125u9½-110u9½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½+114
Underu9½-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-108 to o9½-113
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+110 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u10-120 to u10-130