Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
42.3%57.7%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.59Projected Runs 4.40
9Final Score 5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
158-43.111.198

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
155-23.351.117

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-11 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Carson Spiers+125
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Aaron Civale • PIT: Paul Skenes-152
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • PIT: Jared Jones-108
L 10-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+121
W 0-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller-123
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-11 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Carson Spiers-131
L 7-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo-152
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas+108
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-102
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+120

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CHenry DavisUnknown
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PMartin Perez15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-Strand60-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
WSW 11 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°85°82°80°
Humidity58%61%66%72%
Precipitation52%41%33%37%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 11 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+110+113+109+115+113+115+115+119.4
Reds-120-123-131-125-123-125-123-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+108+115+115+113+114+115+115+119.4
Reds-118-125-125-128-124-125-124-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +112 to +102
Reds ML moved from -122 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-185+1½-183+1½-185+1½-190+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-174
Reds-1½+165-1½+162-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-200+1½-190+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175+1½-200+1½-175+1½-174
Reds-1½+175-1½+170-1½+163-1½+155-1½+155-1½+170-1½+170-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-118o8½-125o8½-121o8½-125o8½-121o8½-118o8½-110
Underu8½-120u8½+102u8½+105u8½+101u8½+105u8½+101u8½+105u8½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o9+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-110
Underu8+105u8½+105u8½+100u8½+100u9-120u8½+100u8½+105u8½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110