Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
48.8%51.2%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.53Projected Runs 4.66
5Final Score 11
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
143-53.741.122

Carson Spiers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-13.21.224

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Aaron Civale • PIT: Paul Skenes-152
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • PIT: Jared Jones-108
L 10-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+121
W 0-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller-123
L 2-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter+114
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo-152
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas+108
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-102
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+120
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter-117

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • CHenry DavisUnknown
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • PMartin Perez15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-Strand60-day IL
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
NNW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°78°75°
Humidity42%47%53%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 5 mphNNW 4 mphN 3 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+115+122+116+124+127+124+127+128.7
Reds-125-132-139-135-137-135-132-128.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+102+122+125+116+123+125+125+128.7
Reds-112-132-137-131-133-135-131-128.7

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +100 to -101
Reds ML moved from -110 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +102 to -102
Reds ML moved from -124 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-210+1½-158+1½-175+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-158+1½-153
Reds-1½+175-1½+142-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-210+1½-180+1½-165+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-153
Reds-1½+180-1½+160-1½+146-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+160-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10+102o10+100o10-105o10+100o10-105o10+102o10+104
Underu9½-110u10-118u10-120u10-115u10-120u10-115u10-115u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10+100o10+100o10+100o10-105o10+105o10+105o10+104
Underu9½-110u10-120u10-120u10-120u10-115u10-125u10-115u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-108 to u10-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-115 to u10-125