Pirates at Reds

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(40-43)
Rank22
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4
48.8%51.2%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.53Projected Runs 4.66
5Final Score 11

Cincinnati Reds

(39-45)
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1
Rank22
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
143-53.741.122

Carson Spiers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-13.21.224

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Aaron Civale • PIT: Paul Skenes-152
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • PIT: Jared Jones-108
L 10-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+121
W 0-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller-123
L 2-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter+114
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo-152
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas+108
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-102
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+120
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter-117

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • CHenry DavisUnknown
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • PMartin Perez15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-Strand60-day IL
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
NNW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°78°75°
Humidity42%47%53%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 5 mphNNW 4 mphN 3 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+115+122+116+124+127+124+127+128.7
Reds-125-132-139-135-137-135-132-128.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+102+122+125+116+123+125+125+128.7
Reds-112-132-137-131-133-135-131-128.7

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +100 to -101
Reds ML moved from -110 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +102 to -102
Reds ML moved from -124 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-210+1½-158+1½-175+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-158+1½-153
Reds-1½+175-1½+142-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-210+1½-180+1½-165+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-153
Reds-1½+180-1½+160-1½+146-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+160-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10+102o10+100o10-105o10+100o10-105o10+102o10+104
Underu9½-110u10-118u10-120u10-115u10-120u10-115u10-115u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10+100o10+100o10+100o10-105o10+105o10+105o10+104
Underu9½-110u10-120u10-120u10-120u10-115u10-125u10-115u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-108 to u10-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-115 to u10-125
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