Blue Jays at Red Sox

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.6
40.6%59.4%
Blue Jays WinRed Sox Win
3.32Projected Runs 4.31
6Final Score 7
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Chris Bassitt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-63.521.411

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
157-52.140.972

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 5-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • CLE: Triston McKenzie+104
L 3-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: José Berríos • CLE: Ben Lively+131
L 1-7 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: Yariel Rodríguez • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+118
L 7-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Kevin Gausman-135
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Chris Bassitt+123
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo+144
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas-114
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-106
W 7-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Kevin Gausman+130
W 4-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Chris Bassitt-124

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • SSBo Bichette10-day IL
  • SSOrelvis MartinezOut
  • PYimi Garcia15-day IL
  • PJordan Romano15-day IL
  • PAlek ManoahOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL
WNW 11 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°71°69°67°
Humidity59%66%72%76%
Precipitation0%14%18%23%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 11 mphWNW 10 mphNW 9 mphNW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+120+141+139+148+151+148+151+153.3
Red Sox-143-153-165-162-161-162-153-153.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+125+138+155+147+151+145+155+153.3
Red Sox-137-148-171-162-165-160-148-153.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +147 to +141
Red Sox ML moved from -150 to -162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +148 to +138
Red Sox ML moved from -165 to -171

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-167+1½-138+1½-145+1½-142+1½-145+1½-142+1½-138+1½-130
Red Sox-1½-140-1½+122-1½+125-1½+122-1½+125-1½+122-1½+125-1½+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-165-1½-140+1½-138+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-130
Red Sox-1½+146+1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-113o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100
Underu8½+100u8½-103u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-103u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-120o8½-105o8½+100
Underu8½+100u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115