Blue Jays at Red Sox

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.6
48.7%51.3%
Blue Jays WinRed Sox Win
4.25Projected Runs 4.38
9Final Score 4
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank15
R/G4.0
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Kevin Gausman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
155-64.241.289

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
137-44.831.406

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 6-7 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Tanner Houck+155
L 5-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • CLE: Triston McKenzie+104
L 3-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: José Berríos • CLE: Ben Lively+131
L 1-7 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: Yariel Rodríguez • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+118
L 7-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Kevin Gausman-135
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Tanner Houck-148
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo+144
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas-114
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-106
W 7-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Kevin Gausman+130

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • PYimi Garcia15-day IL
  • SSOrelvis MartinezOut
  • PJordan Romano15-day IL
  • PAlek ManoahOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL
  • CConnor WongOut
W 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°80°77°75°
Humidity43%49%54%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 7 mphWSW 5 mphSW 5 mphSSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-105+116+112+120+118+120+120+124.3
Red Sox-115-126-134-130-128-130-126-124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+105+118+118+110+116+119+119+124.3
Red Sox-115-128-129-125-126-129-125-124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +105 to -103
Red Sox ML moved from -119 to -129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +121 to +115
Red Sox ML moved from -123 to -129

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-195+1½-173+1½-185+1½-168+1½-180+1½-168+1½-168+1½-155
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+157-1½+160-1½+148-1½+160-1½+148-1½+160-1½+155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-189+1½-170+1½-165+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-165+1½-155
Red Sox-1½+167-1½+150-1½+146-1½+160-1½+160-1½+150-1½+160-1½+155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-103o9½-115o9½-109o9½-105o9½-109o9½-103o9½+101
Underu9-105u9½-113u9½-105u9½-111u9½-115u9½-111u9½-105u9½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+100o9½+100o9-125o9½-110o9½-105o9½+100o9½+101
Underu9-105u9½-120u9½-120u9+105u9½-110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-125