Pirates at Braves

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.4
34.7%65.3%
Pirates WinBraves Win
3.62Projected Runs 5.21
1Final Score 6
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.4
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Martín Pérez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-34.711.552

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-44.21.298

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 6-1 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Luis Ortiz • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+125
W 9-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Hunter Greene+115
L 5-11 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Carson Spiers+125
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Aaron Civale • PIT: Paul Skenes-152
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • PIT: Jared Jones-108
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chicago White SoxATL: Chris Sale • CHW: Chad Kuhl-270
L 1-4 at St. Louis CardinalsATL: Bryce Elder • STL: Matthew Liberatore-110
W 6-2 at St. Louis CardinalsATL: Reynaldo Lopez • STL: Kyle Gibson-114
L 3-4 at St. Louis CardinalsATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • STL: Lance Lynn-120
W 3-1 at New York YankeesATL: Max Fried • NYY: Nestor Cortes+106

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • PMartin Perez15-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • -David Bednar15-day IL
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • CHenry DavisUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CFMichael Harris II10-day IL
  • PRay KerrOut for Season
  • PA.J. Minter15-day IL
  • PSpencer StriderOut for Season
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • PHurston Waldrep15-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°84°82°80°
Humidity64%66%71%75%
Precipitation15%12%10%9%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindSSE 6 mphSE 5 mphSE 5 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+156+190+200+190+187+190+200+196.5
Braves-170-210-245-210-205-210-205-196.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+155+190+190+190+181+190+190+196.5
Braves-170-220-210-210-200-210-200-196.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +156 to +149
Braves ML moved from -203 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +204 to +195
Braves ML moved from -215 to -226

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-108+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100
Braves-1½+120-1½-108-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-108-1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-115+1½-113+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-113+1½+100
Braves-1½+125-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-108o9-115o9-113o9-105o9-113o9-105o9-103
Underu8½+100u9-108u9-105u9-107u9-115u9-107u9-105u9+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-110o9-105o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-103
Underu8½+100u9-110u9-115u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-110u9+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-108 to u9-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-120 to u9-135