Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
37.2%62.8%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.78Projected Runs 5.11
7Final Score 4

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Joan Adon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-07.01.111

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
247-43.941.172

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 6-5 at New York YankeesWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYY: Michael King+203
L 1-9 at New York YankeesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • NYY: Luis Severino+141
W 2-1 at New York YankeesWSN: Josiah Gray • NYY: Carlos Rodón+160
W 3-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: Trevor Williams+200
L 12-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • WSN: Jake Irvin+135
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 0-4 at San Diego PadresMIA: Sandy Alcantara • SDP: Seth Lugo+120
W 3-0 at San Diego PadresMIA: Jesús Luzardo • SDP: Blake Snell+155
L 2-6 at San Diego PadresMIA: Ryan Weathers • SDP: Michael Wacha+176
L 1-3 at Los Angeles DodgersMIA: Braxton Garrett • LAD: Julio Urías+166
L 1-3 at Los Angeles DodgersMIA: Eury Pérez • LAD: Caleb Ferguson+135

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMason Thompson15-day IL
  • CFStone Garrett10-day IL
  • CKeibert RuizQuestionable

Miami Marlins

Status
  • -JT Chargois15-day IL
  • RFAvisail Garcia10-day IL
  • PJohnny Cueto15-day IL
  • -Huascar Brazoban15-day IL
NE 11 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)88°87°85°84°
Humidity64%68%72%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearMostly Clear
WindNE 11 mphNE 11 mphNE 9 mphNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+174+181+180+190+185+190+190+196.5
Marlins-190-201-220-210-200-210-200-196.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+162+185+185+180+185+180+185+196.5
Marlins-195-210-205-220-205-215-205-196.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +185 to +176
Marlins ML moved from -190 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +195 to +185
Marlins ML moved from -194 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-113+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-113+1½-104
Marlins-1½+110-1½-103-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-104
Marlins-1½+105-1½+100-1½-103-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-103o8½-105o8½-106o8½-110o8½-106o8½-103o8½+104
Underu8½-120u8½-113u8½-115u8½-114u8½-110u8½-114u8½-110u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-110o8½-115o8½+100o8½-105o8-115o8-115o8½+104
Underu8-100u8½-110u8½-105u8½-120u8½-115u8-105u8½-105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115