Guardians at Cubs

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
55.0%45.0%
Guardians WinCubs Win
4.40Projected Runs 3.89
8Final Score 6

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-23.181.261

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
132-66.91.551

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 6-0 at Chicago CubsCLE: Tanner Bibee • CHC: Marcus Stroman+117
L 1-10 at Chicago CubsCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHC: Justin Steele+178
L 3-4 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Zack Greinke-142
W 14-1 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Logan Allen • KCR: Austin Cox-141
W 2-1 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Gavin Williams • KCR: Brady Singer-137
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • CHC: Marcus Stroman-126
W 1-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHC: Justin Steele-190
L 3-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+100
L 8-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • CHC: Drew Smyly+124
L 5-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • CHC: Jameson Taillon+126

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzie15-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Brandon Hughes60-day IL
  • 3BEdwin Rios10-day IL
  • 3BPatrick Wisdom10-day IL
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-109-104-105-103-105-103-103+101.9
Cubs-101-104-115-107-105-107-104-101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-115-110-105-115-108-113-105+101.9
Cubs+105+100-105+105-102-103+105-101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Cubs ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Cubs: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -112 to -120
Cubs ML moved from +103 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+145-1½+152-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162
Cubs+1½-165+1½-168+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-168+1½-162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+145-1½+140-1½+154-1½+135-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154-1½+162
Cubs+1½-164+1½-160+1½-174+1½-160+1½-165+1½-170+1½-160+1½-162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+102o8+100o7½-114o8+100o7½-114o7½-114o7½-104
Underu8½-120u8-118u8-120u7½-106u8-120u7½-106u8-118u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+100o8+105o8-110o8-105o8-110o8+105o7½-104
Underu8½-120u8-120u8-125u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120
Rays at Mariners
Giants at Mets