Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
39.0%61.0%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.59Projected Runs 4.74
0Final Score 3
Rank4
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
Rank4
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
75-23.41.156

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-45.661.48

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: Jake Woodford • SDP: Joe Musgrove+181
L 5-6 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+240
L 1-4 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Paul Skenes • LAD: River Ryan+103
L 5-9 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Mitch Keller • LAD: Jack Flaherty+214
L 7-6 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • PIT: Luis Ortiz+102
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jake Woodford • SDP: Joe Musgrove-198
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Dylan Cease • MIA: Max Meyer-180
W 9-8 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Matt Waldron • MIA: Roddery Muñoz-180
W 6-2 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Martín Pérez • MIA: Edward Cabrera-125
W 7-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Randy Vásquez • PIT: Luis Ortiz-109

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFJoshua Palacios10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PStephen Kolek15-day IL
  • PWandy Peralta15-day IL
WSW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°74°73°72°
Humidity68%72%76%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 6 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+216+205+208+215+208+216+215.5
Padres-180-241-250-233-235-233-233-215.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+164+200+208+210+227+220+227+215.5
Padres-180-240-230-240-260-250-230-215.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +178 to +172
Padres ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 70.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +220 to +211
Padres ML moved from -230 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-103+1½-110+1½-107+1½-105+1½-107+1½-103+1½+103
Padres-1½+115-1½-113-1½-110-1½-113-1½-115-1½-113-1½-110-1½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½+100+1½-107+1½-105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+103
Padres-1½+110-1½-120-1½-111-1½-115-1½-120-1½-125-1½-111-1½-103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-118o7½-120o8+100o7½-120o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-115u7½+102u7½+100u8-120u7½+100u8-120u7½+102u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8+100o8+100o8-110o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-115u8-120u8-120u8-110u8-120u8-120u8-110u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o8+100
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-125