Braves at Twins

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
50.7%49.3%
Braves WinTwins Win
3.82Projected Runs 3.74
10Final Score 6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
227-73.571.22

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2412-53.540.986

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: DJ Herz • ATL: Reynaldo Lopez-183
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • ATL: Charlie Morton-164
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • ATL: Chris Sale-250
W 2-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-111
L 3-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • ATL: Max Fried+107
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • MIN: Zebby Matthews-134
W 0-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • MIN: Pablo Lopez-137
L 6-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • MIN: David Festa-142
W 11-4 at San Diego PadresMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • SDP: Matt Waldron+115
L 5-7 at San Diego PadresMIN: Bailey Ober • SDP: Martín Pérez-120

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PA.J. Minter60-day IL
  • 3BAustin Riley15-day IL
  • CFMichael Harris IIRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMax KeplerRest
  • PJoe Ryan15-day IL
  • SSBrooks Lee10-day IL
  • DHByron Buxton10-day IL
  • PBrock StewartOut for Season
WNW 3 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°88°83°81°
Humidity64%70%80%83%
Precipitation40%40%40%40%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 3 mphN 4 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+100+103+102+104+105+104+105+108.7
Twins-110-113-122-114-115-114-113-108.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-104+105+104+103+105+104+105+108.7
Twins-106-115-114-118-115-114-114-108.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +100 to -101
Twins ML moved from -111 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +114 to +108
Twins ML moved from -118 to -127

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+160-1½+167+1½-200+1½-198+1½-195+1½-198+1½-181
Twins+1½-185+1½-188-1½+170-1½+173-1½+167-1½+173-1½+181
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-215+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-200+1½-200+1½-185+1½-181
Twins-1½+189-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+181

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-118o8-113o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-113o8-104
Underu7½-102u8-103u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-103u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-115o8-105o8-104
Underu8-120u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-115u8-105u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120