Nationals at Padres

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G4.4
33.0%67.0%
Nationals WinPadres Win
2.93Projected Runs 4.68
5Final Score 8
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G4.4
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3

Pitching

DJ Herz (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-14.51.333

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
166-64.141.106

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 7-9 at San Diego PadresWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SDP: Adam Mazur-119
L 6-7 at San Diego PadresWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Matt Waldron+176
W 2-1 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Jake Irvin • COL: Kyle Freeland-126
L 7-8 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Mitchell Parker • COL: Cal Quantrill-101
W 11-5 at Colorado RockiesWSN: DJ Herz • COL: Dakota Hudson-118
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 7-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SDP: Adam Mazur+117
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Matt Waldron-181
L 6-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • SDP: Michael King-125
W 4-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Carlos Rodriguez • SDP: Randy Vásquez+108
W 5-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • SDP: Dylan Cease-148

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 1BJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • PTrevor Williams15-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PJason GroomeOut for Season
  • RFFernando Tatis Jr.10-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
WSW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°76°75°74°
Humidity66%64%64%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+165+164+157+165+167+165+167+170.4
Padres-180-178-192-180-177-180-177-170.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+161+165+164+165+166+165+166+170.4
Padres-177-180-181-180-183-180-180-170.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +172 to +164
Padres ML moved from -174 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-140+1½-133+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
Padres-1½+120-1½+117-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-135+1½-137+1½-135+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-124
Padres-1½+110-1½+115-1½+119-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+119-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+102o7½-105o7½+102o7½+105o7½+102o7½+105o7½+111
Underu7½+100u7½-118u7½-115u7½-122u7½-125u7½-122u7½-115u7½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+111
Underu7½+100u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-125u7½-120u7½-115u7½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-108 to u7½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+110 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-130