Nationals at Padres

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
40.5%59.5%
Nationals WinPadres Win
3.83Projected Runs 4.83
6Final Score 7
Rank9
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
Rank9
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
151-75.61.598

Matt Waldron (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
155-63.461.164

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 2-1 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Jake Irvin • COL: Kyle Freeland-126
L 7-8 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Mitchell Parker • COL: Cal Quantrill-101
W 11-5 at Colorado RockiesWSN: DJ Herz • COL: Dakota Hudson-118
L 5-2 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Ryne Nelson • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-137
W 1-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Brandon Pfaadt • WSN: Patrick Corbin+153
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • SDP: Michael King-125
W 4-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Carlos Rodriguez • SDP: Randy Vásquez+108
W 5-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • SDP: Dylan Cease-148
W 6-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Bryse Wilson • SDP: Adam Mazur-104
W 5-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Matt Waldron • PHI: Ranger Suárez+170

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PTrevor Williams15-day IL
  • 1BJoey Gallo10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • RFFernando Tatis Jr.10-day IL
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
  • PJason GroomeOut for Season
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
WSW 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°71°
Humidity63%65%70%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 5 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+174+168+156+167+169+167+169+172.7
Padres-190-184-190-183-179-183-179-172.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+197+167+164+168+176+168+176+172.7
Padres-220-182-181-183-195-186-181-172.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +169 to +158
Padres ML moved from -202 to -208

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 60.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +177 to +170
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128+1½-119
Padres-1½+105-1½+112-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-120+1½-130+1½-135+1½-125+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119
Padres-1½+100-1½+110-1½+117-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+117-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o7½-113o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-104
Underu8½-120u7½-103u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½-115o7½-115o8+100o8+100o7½-110o7½-110o7½-104
Underu8½-115u7½-105u7½-105u8-120u8-120u7½-110u8-120u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8-113 to u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110