Nationals at Phillies

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.8
31.2%68.8%
Nationals WinPhillies Win
3.76Projected Runs 5.68
2Final Score 3
Rank2
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.8
Rank2
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
242-125.981.557

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2411-63.61.147

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-13 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Mitchell Parker • PHI: Zack Wheeler+230
L 1-4 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: DJ Herz • BAL: Dean Kremer+158
W 9-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Jake Irvin • BAL: Trevor Rogers+176
L 6-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jack Kochanowicz • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-152
W 4-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Griffin Canning • WSN: Patrick Corbin-102
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-13 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • PHI: Zack Wheeler-250
W 5-9 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • PHI: Tyler Phillips-158
L 5-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Valente Bellozo • PHI: Taijuan Walker-195
L 5-12 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • ARI: Merrill Kelly-124
L 1-11 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Aaron Nola • ARI: Zac Gallen+106

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PJosiah GrayOut for Season

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PRanger Suarez15-day IL
  • LFAustin Hays10-day IL
SSW 6 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)86°84°81°78°
Humidity44%51%54%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 6 mphSSW 5 mphS 6 mphS 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+242+232+220+227+230+227+232+235.4
Phillies-275-262-270-257-260-257-257-235.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+230+240+228+240+240+230+240+235.4
Phillies-265-280-255-280-280-280-255-235.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +230 to +220
Phillies ML moved from -280 to -290

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +245 to +228
Phillies ML moved from -270 to -280

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+100+1½+122+1½+120+1½+118+1½+120+1½+118+1½+122+1½+126
Phillies-1½-120-1½-138-1½-140-1½-138-1½-140-1½-138-1½-138-1½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+105+1½+120+1½+119+1½+120+1½+120+1½+115+1½+120+1½+126
Phillies-1½-125-1½-140-1½-137-1½-140-1½-140-1½-135-1½-135-1½-126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½+102o9½+100o9½-104o9-125o9½-104o9½+102o9½+105
Underu9-115u9½-118u9½-120u9½-116u9+105u9½-116u9½-116u9½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-105o9-120o9-120o9-125o9½+100o9-120o9½+105
Underu9+100u9½-115u9+100u9+100u9+105u9½-120u9½-115u9½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+105 to o9½-104
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110