Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
51.0%49.0%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.16Projected Runs 4.06
1Final Score 12
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Caleb Kilian (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-18.01.667

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
130-74.51.438

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+145
W 3-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • CHC: Justin Steele+182
W 0-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Keegan Thompson+170
L 6-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CHC: Matt Swarmer+173
L 19-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • CHC: Caleb Kilian-132
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • PIT: Mitch Keller+170
L 7-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • PIT: Jose Quintana+155
L 2-0 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Carlos Rodon • PIT: Zach Thompson+200
W 6-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Roansy Contreras • STL: Jack Flaherty+175
L 1-9 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Bryse Wilson • STL: Miles Mikolas+194

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • 1BFrank SchwindelRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
  • DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo10-day IL
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PZach ThompsonUnknown
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • 2BJosh VanMeter10-day IL
SE 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°66°69°73°
Humidity67%72%60%55%
Precipitation2%4%2%1%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSE 4 mphESE 3 mphS 4 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+100+104+100+104+104+104+104.4
Pirates-105-120-114-110-114-114-110-104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+103+100+100+100-101+103+104.4
Pirates-105-113-110-110-110-109-109-104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +106 to -103
Pirates ML moved from -107 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +108 to +100
Pirates ML moved from -112 to -118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+155+1½-205-1½+155+1½-205+1½-205-1½+161
Pirates+1½-170+1½-180-1½+175+1½-175-1½+175-1½+175+1½-161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+161
Pirates+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-120o8-113o8-115o8-113o8-113o8-113o8-104
Underu8½-120u8+100u8-107u8-105u8-107u8-107u8+100u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-104
Underu8½-120u8+100u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-107 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under