Padres at Royals

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
63.6%36.4%
Padres WinRoyals Win
5.00Projected Runs 3.57
13Final Score 5
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
228-62.911.014

Kris Bubic (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
202-85.291.647

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 7-0 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • SDP: Blake Snell-155
L 3-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • SDP: Mike Clevinger-137
W 1-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Sean Manaea-266
W 1-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • SDP: Joe Musgrove-300
L 6-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • SDP: Blake Snell-316
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • KCR: Brady Singer+120
L 7-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zach Davies • KCR: Jonathan Heasley+113
W 4-6 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Michael Kopech • KCR: Daniel Lynch+145
L 2-3 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Zack Greinke • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough+165
L 2-5 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Kris Bubic • TBR: Drew Rasmussen+178

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • RFJuan SotoRest
  • CJorge Alfaro10-day IL
  • PYu DarvishNamed Starter

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 1BVinnie Pasquantino10-day IL
  • PZack GreinkeUnknown
  • PJosh StaumontUnknown
ESE 7 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°84°81°80°
Humidity55%66%72%75%
Precipitation2%8%7%6%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindESE 7 mphSE 8 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-165-177-195-179-179-179-177-171.6
Royals+152+164+160+165+164+165+165+171.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-170-185-180-205-180-178-178-171.6
Royals+155+170+163+170+164+164+170+171.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -180 to -190
Royals ML moved from +166 to +157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -195 to -205
Royals ML moved from +170 to +158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-105-1½-118-1½-120-1½-121-1½-121-1½-121-1½-118-1½-109
Royals+1½-115+1½+102+1½+100+1½+101+1½+101+1½+101+1½+102+1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-105-1½-120-1½-118-1½-125-1½-125-1½-120-1½-118-1½-109
Royals+1½-115+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o8½+102o8½+100o8½+105o8½+101o8½+105o8½+105o8½+109
Underu8½-125u8½-118u8½-120u8½-125u8½-121u8½-125u8½-118u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½+100o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8+100u8½-120u8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8+100u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120