Guardians at Royals

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
46.0%54.0%
Guardians WinRoyals Win
3.64Projected Runs 4.06
1Final Score 4
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2411-83.921.229

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2814-83.121.117

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 7-1 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Tanner Bibee • KCR: Brady Singer-130
W 4-2 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Gavin Williams • KCR: Michael Wacha+100
W 1-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CLE: Alex Cobb-148
L 3-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • CLE: Matthew Boyd-187
W 8-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CLE: Ben Lively-145
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • KCR: Brady Singer+124
L 4-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Gavin Williams • KCR: Michael Wacha-105
L 2-7 at Houston AstrosKCR: Alec Marsh • HOU: Ronel Blanco+145
L 2-5 at Houston AstrosKCR: Cole Ragans • HOU: Yusei Kikuchi+116
L 2-3 at Houston AstrosKCR: Seth Lugo • HOU: Framber Valdez+164

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • 1BJosh NaylorRest

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • -Hunter Harvey15-day IL
  • PMichael Lorenzen15-day IL
  • PWill Smith15-day IL
  • RFHunter Renfroe10-day IL
  • DHVinnie Pasquantino10-day IL
  • 1BYuli GurrielRest
SSE 5 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°81°77°74°
Humidity42%47%52%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 5 mphSSE 4 mphSE 4 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+121+112+110+115+115+115+115+119.4
Royals-132-122-132-125-125-125-122-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+126+115+111+118+115+116+118+119.4
Royals-137-125-121-133-125-126-121-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +119 to +110
No Steam Moves On Royals ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 40.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +119 to +111
Royals ML moved from -127 to -134

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-173+1½-180+1½-177+1½-175+1½-177+1½-173+1½-164
Royals-1½+150-1½+157-1½+155-1½+157-1½+155-1½+157-1½+157-1½+164
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-164
Royals-1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8½-123o9+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-109
Underu8+105u8½+107u9-120u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+107u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-120o8½-125o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-110u8½+100u8½+105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under