Pirates at Guardians

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
44.1%55.9%
Pirates WinGuardians Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.25
3Final Score 0
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-43.361.121

Matthew Boyd (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-02.70.9

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-10 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Bailey Falter • CLE: Ben Lively+145
L 14-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Paul Skenes-160
L 9-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Jared Jones+112
L 18-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • PIT: Mitch Keller-108
W 3-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • PIT: Luis Ortiz-104
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 8-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CLE: Ben Lively-145
W 5-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Wacha • CLE: Tanner Bibee-155
L 6-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Lorenzen • CLE: Gavin Williams-154
L 9-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • CLE: Logan Allen-134
L 4-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • CLE: Nick Sandlin+113

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL
  • PBen Heller15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
NW 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°75°73°
Humidity72%72%73%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 6 mphNW 5 mphWNW 3 mphSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+142+173+166+175+175+175+175+180.8
Guardians-155-189-202-192-185-192-185-180.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+142+175+179+172+170+175+179+180.8
Guardians-155-190-198-187-187-195-187-180.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +154 to +142
Guardians ML moved from -196 to -202

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Guardians ML moved from -187 to -193

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-123+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
Guardians-1½+130-1½+107-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-130+1½-123+1½-145+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
Guardians-1½+130-1½+110-1½+105-1½+125-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-113o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½-110u8½-103u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under