Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
46.2%53.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
4.29Projected Runs 4.70
9Final Score 4
Rank10
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
Rank10
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Alec Marsh (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
197-74.711.253

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-45.561.538

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 4-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Cole Ragans • CLE: Nick Sandlin-115
L 11-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Kolby Allard • KCR: Seth Lugo-134
L 11-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • KCR: Brady Singer-101
W 4-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • KCR: Michael Wacha-128
W 0-3 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Johnny Cueto • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-176
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • CLE: Nick Sandlin+113
W 2-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Cody Bradford • CLE: Matthew Boyd-122
W 5-13 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • CLE: Ben Lively-128
L 5-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • CLE: Tanner Bibee-138
L 0-6 at New York YankeesCLE: Gavin Williams • NYY: Gerrit Cole+176

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • -Hunter Harvey15-day IL
  • PCole RagansProbable
  • RFHunter Renfroe10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
N 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)84°83°82°80°
Humidity60%62%66%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindN 4 mphNE 3 mphE 3 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-8.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-101+124-128+125+126+125+126+129.7
Guardians-109-134+107-136-136-136+107-129.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-102+129+126+119+129+129+129+129.7
Guardians-108-139-138-134-140-139-134-129.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Guardians ML moved from -125 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from -102 to -108
Guardians ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-205+1½-168-1½+130+1½-168+1½-180+1½-168+1½-155
Guardians-1½+175-1½+152+1½-150-1½+148-1½+160-1½+148-1½+155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-204+1½-180+1½-166+1½-175+1½-180+1½-180+1½-166+1½-155
Guardians-1½+180-1½+160-1½+147-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-103o8-115o9-113o9-110o9-113o8-115o9-103
Underu8½-115u9-113u8-105u9-107u9-110u9-107u9-107u9+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-105o9-110o9+100o9-105o9-110o9+100o9-103
Underu8½-115u9-115u9-110u9-120u9-115u9-110u9-110u9+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 70.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
No Steam Moves On Under