Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
51.9%48.1%
Cubs WinPirates Win
3.89Projected Runs 3.69
9Final Score 5
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
214-53.071.065

Jared Jones (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-63.561.11

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 18-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Jameson Taillon • PIT: Mitch Keller+104
L 2-7 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Javier Assad • MIA: Adam Oller-160
W 14-2 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Shota Imanaga • MIA: Valente Bellozo-195
W 6-3 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIA: Max Meyer-118
W 2-10 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Holton • CHC: Justin Steele-182
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 18-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • PIT: Mitch Keller-108
W 3-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • PIT: Luis Ortiz-104
L 10-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Julian Aguiar • PIT: Jake Woodford-103
W 5-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Buck Farmer • PIT: Bailey Falter-105
W 0-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Paul Skenes-139

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJulian Merryweather15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • DHAndrew McCutchen10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
WSW 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)90°88°84°82°
Humidity49%54%59%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 4 mphSW 4 mphSSW 4 mphSSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-110-117-124-121-120-121-117-115.5
Pirates+100+107+104+111+110+111+111+115.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-127-122-121-122-122-121-121-115.5
Pirates+116+112+111+107+112+111+112+115.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -116 to -124
Pirates ML moved from +101 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -115 to -122
Pirates ML moved from +106 to +100

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+132-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+143
Pirates+1½-170+1½-148+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-148+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+129-1½+130-1½+136-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+136-1½+143
Pirates+1½-147+1½-150+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-118o7½-115o7½-117o7½-115o7½-117o7½-115o7½-106
Underu8-120u7½+102u7½-105u7½-103u7½-105u7½-103u7½+102u7½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-115o8+100o8+100o8+100o7½-120o7½-115o7½-106
Underu8-115u7½-105u8-120u8-120u8-120u7½+100u7½+100u7½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-106
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-105