Royals at Guardians

Updated

Kansas City Royals

(86-76)
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
42.4%57.6%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.74Projected Runs 4.55
3Final Score 8

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Daniel Lynch (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-33.921.41

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-33.421.225

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 3-7 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Jon Heasley • CLE: Zach Plesac+138
L 3-7 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Zack Greinke • MIN: Sonny Gray+170
W 7-3 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brady Singer • MIN: Chris Archer+152
L 7-10 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brad Keller • MIN: Bailey Ober+167
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+170
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jon Heasley • CLE: Zach Plesac-147
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersCLE: Triston McKenzie • DET: Elvin Rodriguez-157
W 8-1 at Detroit TigersCLE: Shane Bieber • DET: Alex Faedo-155
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersCLE: Konnor Pilkington • DET: Tarik Skubal+125
L 1-2 at Houston AstrosCLE: Cal Quantrill • HOU: Cristian Javier+170

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 1BCarlos SantanaRest
  • CFMichael A. TaylorOut
  • PRonald BolanosOut
  • -Amir Garrett10-day IL
  • CCam Gallagher10-day IL
  • CFEdward Olivares10-day IL
  • PZack GreinkeUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFSteven KwanRest
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • DHFranmil Reyes10-day IL
  • RFJosh NaylorRest
SW 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)89°87°86°84°
Humidity40%43%48%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 9 mphSW 8 mphSW 8 mphSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+140+115+122+123+122+122+123+128.3
Guardians-150-138-132-133-132-132-132-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+140+122+121+120+115+120+122+128.3
Guardians-150-132-132-130-125-130-125-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +113 to +105
Guardians ML moved from -123 to -129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +133 to +115
Guardians ML moved from -126 to -132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-155+1½-165+1½-162+1½-160+1½-162+1½-162+1½-160+1½-149
Guardians-1½+135-1½+140-1½+142-1½+140-1½+142-1½+142-1½+142-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-155+1½-160+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-149
Guardians-1½+135-1½+140-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+140-1½+150-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9+100
Underu8½-105u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9-110o9-115o9-105o9-120o9-110o9-105o9+100
Underu9½-110u9-110u9-105u9-115u9+100u9-110u9+100u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9½+100
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-115
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