Nationals at Cubs

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
42.8%57.2%
Nationals WinCubs Win
3.82Projected Runs 4.57
7Final Score 5

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
184-74.421.461

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
187-64.311.362

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-8 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Josiah Gray • STL: Jack Flaherty+160
L 6-9 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Jake Irvin • STL: Steven Matz+178
W 7-5 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Trevor Williams • STL: Miles Mikolas+175
W 2-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • WSN: Patrick Corbin+190
W 3-8 vs Texas RangersTEX: Andrew Heaney • WSN: Jake Irvin+190
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 11-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CHC: Justin Steele-144
W 4-10 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • CHC: Marcus Stroman+105
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+122
W 7-4 at New York YankeesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • NYY: Domingo Germán+135
L 3-6 at New York YankeesCHC: Drew Smyly • NYY: Gerrit Cole+179

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFCorey DickersonRest
  • -Carl Edwards Jr.15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL
  • PThad Ward15-day IL
  • PPatrick CorbinOut
  • 3BJeimer CandelarioUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • CFMike TauchmanRest
  • SSDansby Swanson10-day IL
  • -Brandon Hughes60-day IL
  • -Brad Boxberger60-day IL
E 5 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°73°71°70°
Humidity56%60%63%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindE 5 mphSE 3 mphS 4 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+138+122+112+119+119+119+122+123.4
Cubs-150-131-134-129-129-129-129-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+133+124+122+122+129+116+129+123.4
Cubs-145-134-133-145-140-136-133-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +123 to +116
Cubs ML moved from -144 to -155

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 70.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +124 to +116
Cubs ML moved from -137 to -143

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-167+1½-173+1½-175+1½-171+1½-175+1½-171+1½-171+1½-158
Cubs-1½+147-1½+157-1½+150-1½+151-1½+155-1½+151-1½+157-1½+158
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-167+1½-165+1½-178+1½-160+1½-175+1½-180+1½-160+1½-158
Cubs-1½+148-1½+145-1½+158-1½+135-1½+155-1½+150-1½+158-1½+158

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o9½-103o9½-105o9½-106o9½-115o9½-106o9½-103o9½+104
Underu8-110u9½-113u9½-115u9½-114u9½-105u9½-114u9½-105u9½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-120o9-125o9-120o9½-110o9½-110o9-120o9½+104
Underu8½-110u9+100u9+105u9+100u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115