Pirates at Orioles

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
38.1%61.9%
Pirates WinOrioles Win
3.43Projected Runs 4.68
0Final Score 1

Baltimore Orioles

(91-71)
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
183-74.371.416

Dean Kremer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-33.861.403

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Zach Thompson+250
W 7-8 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Tyler Beede+189
W 3-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: Bryse Wilson+247
L 8-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • PIT: JT Brubaker+162
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • PIT: Mitch Keller+142
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 6-3 at Texas RangersBAL: Kyle Bradish • TEX: Martin Perez+146
W 8-2 at Texas RangersBAL: Jordan Lyles • TEX: Spencer Howard+112
W 7-2 at Texas RangersBAL: Spenser Watkins • TEX: Jon Gray+161
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsBAL: Austin Voth • CIN: Nick Lodolo+113
L 2-8 at Cincinnati RedsBAL: Dean Kremer • CIN: Tyler Mahle+100

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • PDavid BednarUnknown

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • LFAustin HaysQuestionable
  • PTyler WellsUnknown
Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+148+138+127+139+138+139+139+140.1
Orioles-161-148-152-151-150-151-147-140.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+140+135+132+146+137+146+140.1
Orioles-155-150-148-157-159-147-148-140.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +139 to +132
No Steam Moves On Orioles ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 80.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +144 to +135
No Steam Moves On Orioles ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-148+1½-145+1½-149+1½-140+1½-149+1½-140+1½-138
Orioles-1½+130-1½+132-1½+125-1½+129-1½+120-1½+129-1½+132-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-150+1½-154+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-138
Orioles-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-113o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-113o8½-104
Underu8½+105u8½-103u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o9+100o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u9-120u8½-105u8½-105u9-120u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
Yankees at Cardinals
Rockies at Diamondbacks