Marlins at Red Sox

Updated

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
50.1%49.9%
Marlins WinRed Sox Win
4.80Projected Runs 4.79
10Final Score 1

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Sandy Alcantara (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
152-65.081.254

Garrett Whitlock (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-24.51.217

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • MIA: Eury Pérez-167
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Osvaldo Bido • MIA: Bryan Hoeing-164
L 3-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-205
W 4-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Braxton Garrett-160
L 6-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+117
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CHW: Tanner Banks-110
L 4-5 at Chicago White SoxBOS: James Paxton • CHW: Lance Lynn-109
W 3-1 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CHW: Lucas Giolito-110
L 0-6 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Justin Garza • MIN: Joe Ryan+128
L 4-5 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Garrett Whitlock • MIN: Sonny Gray+104

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 3BJean SeguraUnknown
  • 2BJazz Chisholm JrUnknown
  • PMatt Barnes15-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • RFAlex VerdugoUnknown
  • PCorey Kluber15-day IL
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest
  • 3BYu Chang60-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PTanner Houck10-day IL
  • CReese McGuire10-day IL
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • PJoely Rodriguez15-day IL
S 11 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°75°73°72°
Humidity73%76%78%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindS 11 mphS 10 mphS 9 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+110+124+122+129+125+129+129+133.2
Red Sox-120-134-145-139-135-139-134-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+102+125+123+115+125+120+125+133.2
Red Sox-112-135-134-135-135-140-134-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +116 to +110
Red Sox ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +123 to +117
Red Sox ML moved from -128 to -135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-190+1½-163+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+147-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-195+1½-170+1½-165+1½-178+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-153
Red Sox-1½+162-1½+150-1½+146-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-113o9½-115o9½-118o9½-115o9½-118o9½-113o9½-107
Underu9-110u9½-103u9½-105u9½-102u9½-105u9½-102u9½-102u9½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-115o9½-105o9½-115o9½-110o9½-115o9½-105o9½-107
Underu9-100u9½-105u9½-115u9½-105u9½-110u9½-105u9½-105u9½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
No Steam Moves On Under
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