Pirates at Marlins

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
40.2%59.8%
Pirates WinMarlins Win
3.57Projected Runs 4.59
3Final Score 1

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-03.461.308

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-54.091.255

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-6 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Braxton Garrett+152
L 8-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Rich Hill+105
L 4-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • PIT: Johan Oviedo+122
L 8-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • PIT: Osvaldo Bido+113
L 2-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Luis Ortiz • MIL: Freddy Peralta+160
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Braxton Garrett-160
L 6-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+117
L 2-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • MIA: Eury Pérez-110
W 0-11 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • MIA: Bryan Hoeing+142
W 4-2 at Washington NationalsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • WSN: Patrick Corbin-148

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL
  • PVince VelasquezOut for Season
  • -Rob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • CLuis Hernandez15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PMatt Barnes15-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera10-day IL
  • 3BJean Segura10-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)88°87°85°84°
Humidity69%72%76%79%
Precipitation40%30%41%0%
ConditionIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated ThunderstormsCloudy
WindESE 7 mphESE 8 mphESE 7 mphESE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+148+186+170+181+187+181+187+186.4
Marlins-161-206-210-197-205-197-197-186.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+185+185+180+189+185+189+186.4
Marlins-172-210-205-220-210-220-205-186.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +180 to +170
Marlins ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +200 to +190
Marlins ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-118+1½-120+1½-122+1½-120+1½-122+1½-118+1½-111
Marlins-1½+115-1½+102-1½+100-1½+102-1½+100-1½+102-1½+102-1½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-115+1½-123+1½-125+1½-110+1½-125+1½-110+1½-111
Marlins-1½+126-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-1½-110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+111

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-108o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100
Underu8-110u7½-108u7½-110u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-108u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100o7½-115o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-120u7½-105u7½-120u7½-105u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+107 to o7½-103
The Under moved from u7½-108 to u7½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125