Braves at Reds

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
59.2%40.8%
Braves WinReds Win
5.30Projected Runs 4.33
10Final Score 11
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-02.030.975

Luke Weaver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-26.471.544

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 5-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Bryce Elder • PHI: Aaron Nola+110
W 4-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Spencer Strider • PHI: Ranger Suarez-146
W 6-14 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chase Anderson • ATL: Charlie Morton-264
W 2-10 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Connor Seabold • ATL: Bryce Elder-290
W 1-8 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Dinelson Lamet • ATL: Jared Shuster-220
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jake Bird • CIN: Andrew Abbott-210
W 6-8 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Noah Davis • CIN: Ben Lively-190
W 4-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • CIN: Brandon Williamson-164
W 9-7 at Houston AstrosCIN: Luke Weaver • HOU: Ronel Blanco+135
W 10-3 at Houston AstrosCIN: Hunter Greene • HOU: Brandon Bielak+106

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CSean MurphyRest
  • PMax Fried60-day IL
  • PJesse Chavez15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PCasey Legumina15-day IL
  • CFNick SenzelRest
  • PGraham AshcraftUnknown
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
WNW 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°76°75°73°
Humidity64%65%67%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 4 mphWNW 4 mphW 3 mphWSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-145-144-152-141-141-141-141-134.6
Reds+134+134+127+130+131+130+134+134.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-150-141-142-150-141-145-141-134.6
Reds+126+131+130+126+130+125+131+134.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -154 to -160
Reds ML moved from +142 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -150 to -160
Reds ML moved from +133 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+100-1½-103-1½-105-1½-101-1½+100-1½-101-1½+100-1½+108
Reds+1½-120+1½-113+1½-115+1½-119+1½-120+1½-119+1½-113+1½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-110-1½-105-1½-102-1½-110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+108
Reds+1½-110+1½-115+1½-116+1½-110+1½-120+1½-120+1½-110+1½-108

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-115o11½-113o11½-115o11½-112o11½-110o11½-112o11½-110o11½-102
Underu10½-105u11½-103u11½-105u11½-108u11½-110u11½-108u11½-103u11½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-115o11½-105o11½-110o11½-110o11½-105o11½-110o11½-105o11½-102
Underu10½-105u11½-115u11½-110u11½-110u11½-115u11½-110u11½-110u11½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11½-109 to o11½-112
The Under moved from u11-120 to u11-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11½+105 to o11½-105
The Under moved from u11½-103 to u11½-110