Brewers at Phillies

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
43.8%56.2%
Brewers WinPhillies Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.86
0Final Score 2
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Aaron Ashby (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-19.822.182

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
127-23.031.034

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 1-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIL: Jared Koenig • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+139
L 1-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIL: Jared Koenig • PHI: Zack Wheeler+176
W 3-6 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Nick Nastrini • MIL: Freddy Peralta-330
W 3-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Garrett Crochet • MIL: Robert Gasser-155
W 5-12 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Erick Fedde • MIL: Tobias Myers-167
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Jared Koenig • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-146
W 1-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Jared Koenig • PHI: Zack Wheeler-188
L 5-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Lance Lynn • PHI: Taijuan Walker-134
W 1-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • PHI: Ranger Suárez-160
W 2-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • PHI: Aaron Nola-200

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PRobert Gasser15-day IL
  • PJoe Ross15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PRanger SuarezQuestionable
  • PMichael Rucker60-day IL
  • 2BKody Clemens10-day IL
  • CFBrandon Marsh10-day IL
S 10 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°81°79°76°
Humidity57%63%70%78%
Precipitation4%25%20%40%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphS 9 mphS 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+152+149+142+149+149+149+149+154.3
Phillies-184-161-172-163-159-163-159-154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+155+152+139+150+146+148+152+154.3
Phillies-175-165-152-165-159-163-152-154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +152 to +143
Phillies ML moved from -174 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +150 to +139
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-135+1½-133+1½-135+1½-136+1½-135+1½-136+1½-133+1½-124
Phillies-1½+115-1½+117-1½+115-1½+116-1½+115-1½+116-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-130+1½-135+1½-148+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-124
Phillies-1½+110-1½+115-1½+130-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+130-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-123o8½-115o8½-126o8½-120o8½-126o8½-115o8½-115
Underu9-115u8½+107u8½-105u8½+106u8½+100u8½+106u8½+107u8½+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-115
Underu9-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½-110u8½+100u8½+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u8½+102 to u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110