Reds at Nationals

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
50.8%49.2%
Reds WinNationals Win
4.24Projected Runs 4.16
5Final Score 4
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Brandon Williamson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
91-25.561.397

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
174-74.481.472

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 9-2 at Washington NationalsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • WSN: Josiah Gray-102
W 8-4 at Washington NationalsCIN: Brett Kennedy • WSN: Patrick Corbin-107
W 3-2 at Washington NationalsCIN: Luke Weaver • WSN: Jake Irvin-108
W 3-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Adrian Morejon • CIN: Andrew Abbott-122
L 12-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • CIN: Brandon Williamson+140
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 9-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • WSN: Josiah Gray+100
L 8-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brett Kennedy • WSN: Patrick Corbin+100
L 3-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • WSN: Jake Irvin+102
W 5-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Trevor Williams • PHI: Ranger Suárez+225
L 4-19 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Zack Wheeler+185

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
  • 1BWil MyersRest
  • PBen Lively15-day IL
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • 1BJoey VottoRest
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • PCasey Legumina15-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFCorey DickersonRest
  • 1BDominic SmithRest
  • PThad Ward15-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL
  • -Carl Edwards Jr.15-day IL
SE 4 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°92°90°91°
Humidity55%54%56%54%
Precipitation0%49%46%53%
ConditionMostly ClearIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated Thunderstorms
WindSE 4 mphESE 4 mphSE 9 mphSSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+100+114+108+111+111+111+114+115.5
Nationals-110-123-130-121-121-121-121-115.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-160+110+107+112+108+107+112+115.5
Nationals+140-120-117-125-118-126-117-115.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +100 to -103
Nationals ML moved from -119 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +115 to +109
Nationals ML moved from -115 to -127

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-180+1½-168+1½-175+1½-171+1½-170+1½-171+1½-168+1½-158
Nationals-1½+160-1½+152-1½+150-1½+151-1½+150-1½+151-1½+152-1½+158
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+140+1½-170+1½-170+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-158
Nationals+1½-160-1½+150-1½+150-1½+152-1½+155-1½+147-1½+155-1½+158

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+100o10-103o10+105o9½-120o9½-125o9½-120o10+105o9½-109
Underu10-120u10-113u10-125u9½+100u9½+105u9½+100u9½+105u9½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o10+100o10+105o10+100o10+100o9½-120o10+105o9½-109
Underu9-110u10-120u10-125u10-120u10-120u9½+100u9½+100u9½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-103 to o10-108
The Under moved from u10-115 to u10-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-120