Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
32.1%67.9%
Pirates WinPadres Win
2.95Projected Runs 4.79
4Final Score 2
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
90-44.641.359

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
85-01.90.942

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-4 at San Diego PadresPIT: Jose Quintana • SDP: Sean Manaea+198
W 5-10 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • PIT: Zach Thompson-124
L 2-1 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • PIT: Roansy Contreras-110
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chad Kuhl • PIT: JT Brubaker-129
L 18-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • PIT: Bryse Wilson+150
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • SDP: Sean Manaea-215
L 2-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • SDP: Yu Darvish-135
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • SDP: Blake Snell+118
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • SDP: Nick Martinez-105
W 10-1 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: MacKenzie Gore • SFG: Alex Wood+130

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 1BDaniel Vogelbach10-day IL
  • CTyler HeinemanRest
  • PHeath HembreeUnknown
  • DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo10-day IL
  • 2BMichael ChavisRest
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 1BMatt BeatyUnknown
  • 3BManny MachadoRest
  • PMike ClevingerUnknown
WSW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)62°62°62°62°
Humidity76%78%79%80%
Precipitation0%1%1%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyOvercastMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mphW 7 mphSW 7 mph
Manny Gonzalez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+208+190+195+200+189+195+200+203.4
Padres-230-230-214-220-214-214-214-203.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+200+200+200+200+205+200+205+203.4
Padres-220-240-222-220-230-220-220-203.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +197 to +185
Padres ML moved from -227 to -235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +210 to +200
Padres ML moved from -220 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-105+1½-117+1½-115+1½-117+1½-117+1½-105+1½-104
Padres-1½+100-1½-115-1½-103-1½-105-1½-103-1½-103-1½-103-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-105+1½-113+1½-120+1½-105+1½-115+1½-105+1½-104
Padres-1½+100-1½-115-1½-105-1½+100-1½-115-1½-105-1½+100-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7+105o7+101o7+100o7+101o7+101o7+105o7+109
Underu7-110u7-125u7-121u7-120u7-121u7-121u7-120u7-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+109
Underu7-110u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-105 to o7-115
The Under moved from u7-113 to u7-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+100 to o7-110
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-120