Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
40.8%59.2%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.77Projected Runs 4.73
3Final Score 5

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-14.231.304

Eury Pérez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.861.286

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIA: Edward Cabrera+120
L 4-5 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josiah Gray • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+150
W 3-10 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • WSN: Patrick Corbin+151
L 8-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • WSN: Jake Irvin+189
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Joey Lucchesi • WSN: Trevor Williams+135
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIA: Edward Cabrera-125
W 4-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-155
W 1-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • MIA: Braxton Garrett-149
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Derek Law • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-230
L 7-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIA: Eury Pérez-138

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL
  • DHJoey MenesesOut
  • PChad KuhlUnknown

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CFJesus SanchezUnknown
  • RFAvisail Garcia10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • PTommy Nance60-day IL
  • PTrevor RogersUnknown
SSE 8 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°88°88°86°
Humidity57%56%58%59%
Precipitation30%0%33%40%
ConditionThunderstormsMostly ClearThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSSE 8 mphSE 9 mphSE 11 mphSSE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+139+139+130+140+140+140+140+144.8
Marlins-151-149-155-152-150-152-149-144.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+138+135+126+138+130+138+144.8
Marlins-155-148-148-150-150-150-148-144.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +143 to +133
Marlins ML moved from -146 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +139 to +132
Marlins ML moved from -140 to -150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-160+1½-158+1½-165+1½-157+1½-155+1½-157+1½-155+1½-145
Marlins-1½+140-1½+142-1½+140-1½+137-1½+135-1½+137-1½+142-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-160+1½-155+1½-163+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-145
Marlins-1½+135-1½+135-1½+144-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+144-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-113o8-115o8-114o8-115o8-114o8-113o8-104
Underu8+100u8-103u8-105u8-106u8-105u8-106u8-103u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-104
Underu8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120